Honest Research
We publish what the on-chain data does and does not say — including, especially, when it says "this does not work." Pre-registered, both outcomes published, receipts attached.
We just pre-registered the test most likely to embarrass us
We froze a public, tamper-proof test of our most flattering claim. Here is exactly what we did, why it can't be fudged, and why the answer — likely a null — only arrives in ~2 years.
The 75% win rate that lost moneylive
370 real Kraken live trades on whale signals. Three in four closed green — the equity curve still fell 96% before a single fee. Slide the fee and watch.
The cleaner the signal, the less it's yours
Why rigor and differentiation are negatively correlated in on-chain whale research — and what that means for an honesty-first product.
Dormant whale wakeup event study (frozen)frozen
The full frozen protocol: hypothesis, chain-primitive trigger, the three pre-committed verdicts, and the immutable instrument. Commit fec427a.